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The market the four systems are built for

DTON sizes its markets from the bottom up, for each of the four industries. These are projections and assumptions, not forecasts.

From total market to DTON’s share

In DTON’s base-case model, the four revenue markets total $6.66T from 2026 to 2035. DTON’s model can serve $274.9B of it.

The total addressable market (TAM) is the whole revenue pool of the four industries. The serviceable market (SAM) is the part DTON’s model can serve. The obtainable market (SOM) is 25% of SAM, the share DTON targets.

$6.66TTAM: the four revenue markets $274.9BSAM: what DTON’s model can serve $68.7BSOM: 25% of SAM, DTON’s share
Circle areas are drawn to scale.

The bottom-up approach

How the numbers are built

DTON’s figures come from its own bottom-up revenue model, not from a percentage of an outside market forecast. The model multiplies real-world volumes by unit economics for each industry, then adds them up.

  1. Volumes Real-world volumes: vehicles, workers, projects, bookings
  2. Unit economics Multiplied by fees and prices, tested against the record
  3. Adoption A cautious adoption ramp sets the reachable market
  4. Phases From Inception to Governance
  5. Industry Totals for MAAC, t2EF, PWOS and IMC

Where the market sits

Each industry’s share of the total market and of the market DTON’s model can serve.

$6.66TTAM
  • MAAC 4.2% $278.1B
  • t2EF 2.1% $143.0B
  • PWOS 26.8% $1.79T
  • IMC 66.9% $4.45T
$274.9BSAM
  • MAAC 5.6% $15.5B
  • t2EF 2.3% $6.3B
  • PWOS 24.8% $68.3B
  • IMC 67.2% $184.8B

Interactive

The market ladder, from total market to the pilot

Choose a scenario to see how the ten-year market changes. The pilot and plan figures do not move with the scenario.

$6.66T TAM Revenue pool, ten years. A ceiling.
$274.9B SAM Reachable under a cautious adoption ramp.
$68.7B SOM The share DTON can realistically obtain: 25% of SAM in the Base case.
$1.46B Phase 1 SOM 12+ cities, 30,000+ vehicles listed, years 1 and 2.
$3.4M Inception SOM Austin and Benin City, 850+ listed and 700+ deployed vehicles, 24 months. About $6.6M a year run-rate by Month 24.
$1.81T DTON plan The ambition, set beside the market and never used to size it. 27.2% of the Base TAM and 6.6 times the Base SAM.

Year-10 annual run-rate in 2035, Base case: TAM about $1.07T, SAM about $88.3B. All figures are projections.

TAM, SAM and SOM, industry by industry

MAAC Mobility-as-an-Asset-Class
TAM $278.1B
SAM $15.5B
SOM $3.9B
Inception SOM 850+ listed, 700+ deployed
DTON plan $157.8B

Year-10 run-rate (2035, per year): TAM $52.9B, SAM $6.3B

Explore MAAC
t2EF Training-to-Economic-Freedom
TAM $143.0B
SAM $6.3B
SOM $1.6B
Inception SOM 1,200+ enrolled, 700+ deployed
DTON plan $42.0B

Year-10 run-rate (2035, per year): TAM $17.5B, SAM $2.1B

Explore t2EF
PWOS Physical World Operating System
TAM $1.79T
SAM $68.3B
SOM $17.1B
Inception SOM 2 pilot cities
DTON plan $309.4B

Year-10 run-rate (2035, per year): TAM $314.1B, SAM $25.1B

Explore PWOS
IMC In-Motion Commerce
TAM $4.45T
SAM $184.8B
SOM $46.2B
Inception SOM 2 pilot cities
DTON plan $1.30T

Year-10 run-rate (2035, per year): TAM $684.4B, SAM $54.8B

Explore IMC

The numbers, industry by industry

IndustryTAMSAMSOMDTON planYear-10 run-rate, TAM / SAM
MAAC Mobility-as-an-Asset-Class$278.1B$15.5B$3.9B$157.8B$52.9B / $6.3B
t2EF Training-to-Economic-Freedom$143.0B$6.3B$1.6B$42.0B$17.5B / $2.1B
PWOS Physical World Operating System$1.79T$68.3B$17.1B$309.4B$314.1B / $25.1B
IMC In-Motion Commerce$4.45T$184.8B$46.2B$1.30T$684.4B / $54.8B
Combined$6.66T$274.9B$68.7B$1.81T$1.07T / $88.3B

Base-case projections, 2026 to 2035. The DTON plan is shown beside the market and is never used to size it.

Three scenarios

DTON also models a low and a high case, so a reader can see how sensitive the market is to its assumptions.

$3.14TLow$6.66TBase$12.31THigh
TAM
$59.3BLow$274.9BBase$997.1BHigh
SAM
$8.9BLow$68.7BBase$398.8BHigh
SOM

The assets behind the markets

Two of the industries rest on physical assets: vehicles and infrastructure. By 2035 the model projects these asset bases, and the part that DTON’s systems could tokenize or govern.

Combined: $4.61T of assets, of which $463.1B tokenized and governed.

MAAC Electric-vehicle asset base, 2035
$2.36T tokenized: $283.4B
PWOS Infrastructure asset base, 2035
$2.25T governed: $179.7B
The wider foundational universe these markets draw on is projected at $103.9T by 2030 and $147.1T by 2035. It is context, not a market DTON claims.

See how the model is built

The founding publication explains each market and its assumptions.

Read the publication

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